- Metric
- Modeled greenhouse-gas emissions associated with data-center electricity
- Scope
- United States; balancing-authority generation mix
- Period
- 2023
- Status
- modeled
Do data centers harm local air quality?
Grid electricity creates a regional footprint. Diesel engines create intermittent local emissions and a real exposure pathway. Separate annual averages, permit limits, actual operation, dispersion, and cumulative neighborhood sources.
Key facts, with scope and limits.
- Metric
- Annual total-output CO2e rate among selected eGRID subregions
- Scope
- Selected U.S. eGRID subregions; annual average, not marginal dispatch
- Period
- Generation year 2023
- Status
- administrative
- Metric
- Data-center generator share of regional emissions
- Scope
- Northern Virginia; actual generator activity reported to JLARC
- Period
- 2023
- Status
- observed
Electricity emissions vary by region
Annual average electricity emissions vary widely by eGRID subregion. These values reflect the regional generation mix. They cannot predict the marginal plant or long-run resources serving a new facility.
EPA eGRID2023 Revision 2 total-output CO2e rates, pounds per megawatt-hour. Contractual renewable claims and physical location-based accounting are separate views.
| Region | Value (lb CO2e/MWh) |
|---|---|
| Upstate New York | 242.8 lb CO2e/MWh |
| California | 430 lb CO2e/MWh |
| Virginia / Carolinas | 596.3 lb CO2e/MWh |
| Northwest | 635.3 lb CO2e/MWh |
| Southwest | 706.2 lb CO2e/MWh |
| ERCOT | 736.6 lb CO2e/MWh |
| United States | 770.9 lb CO2e/MWh |
| SERC Midwest | 1,248.6 lb CO2e/MWh |
Use the national baseline to read the local record.
National baseline
A data center's electricity footprint changes with the regional generation mix. EPA subregion rates vary substantially. Those annual averages still cannot tell you which plant a new load will dispatch or cause to be built.
Local case
Grid emissions are regional; generator emissions are local. A project page should show both without using a renewable contract to erase physical grid conditions or a permit maximum as if it were actual pollution.
What the evidence supports.
Data centers continuously pollute the neighborhood air.
For a grid-supplied facility, most operating emissions occur at generators elsewhere. Local diesel engines are intermittent but real sources during tests, commissioning, outages, or other permitted use.
Backup generators do not matter.
A campus can aggregate many engines. One 2022 Virginia permit covered 123 units. Its annual caps do not show actual emissions; operating logs and fuel records provide that evidence.
Ask for these local records.
Without these inputs, a project-specific verdict is incomplete. Treat missing evidence as an open question.
- 01Electricity supplier, eGRID subregion, contractual claims, and location-based accounting
- 02Engine count, size, fuel, control tier, permit limits, and stack-test results
- 03Actual annual test, maintenance, commissioning, outage, and demand-response hours
- 04Any behind-the-meter prime generation kept separate from emergency backup
- 05Nearby sensitive receptors, cumulative permitted sources, monitoring, and complaint records
Sources used on this page.
- Official reportGrade B2024 United States Data Center Energy Usage Report
United States; historical estimates through 2023 and scenarios through 2028
Modeled national estimates with limited facility-level public data. Location-based emissions and indirect water do not include facility-specific contracts or behind-the-meter supply. - Agency dataGrade AeGRID2023 Revision 2 summary data
U.S. eGRID subregions and national total
Annual average output rates attribute a regional generation mix. They do not identify short-run marginal dispatch or long-run resources caused by a new load. - RegulationGrade AStationary engine New Source Performance Standards
Stationary compression-ignition engines in the United States
Specific requirements vary by engine age, size, source classification, and use. The rule summary is not a facility operating record. - PermitGrade AAir permit 74162
One Vantage Data Centers campus in Sterling, Virginia
This is one older Virginia permit. Its caps show maximum allowed emissions; actual emissions require operating data. Newer Virginia control guidance is more stringent. - AuditGrade BData Centers in Virginia
Virginia, primarily FY2021–FY2023, with selected forecasts
Virginia-specific. Several values are stakeholder estimates or model outputs, and future utility-cost scenarios are explicitly uncertain. - Official reportGrade AHealth Assessment Document for Diesel Engine Exhaust
Human-health hazards from acute and chronic diesel-exhaust inhalation
Establishes the hazard from diesel exhaust. Exposure and risk from a named engine fleet require site-specific evidence. Engine technology and controls have also changed since the assessment. - Official reportGrade BData centers: monitoring diesel pollution in Quincy
Diesel-particle monitoring, health-risk assessment, and permitting in Quincy, Washington
One community and one modeling process. Washington Ecology identified technical issues in the owner-funded 2018 assessment and later performed follow-up analysis.
